Further Mathematics · Pearson Edexcel 9FM0 · Option FS1 · Topic 2

Poisson and binomial distributions

The Poisson distribution for counts of random events, and how it combines with and approximates the binomial distribution.

  • 3 sub-topics
  • Taught in Year 12
  • 53 practice questions
  • 3 animated lessons

What the specification says

Every sub-topic Pearson Edexcel can examine in this topic, with its reference number from the official specification. The Y12 and Y13 tags show when each sub-topic is usually taught.

  1. 2.1The Poisson distributionY12
  2. 2.2Mean and variance of binomial and PoissonY12
  3. 2.3Poisson approximation to the binomialY12

Try 2 questions

Easy and medium questions from this topic, each with a worked solutions and the mark for every step. All 53 questions in this topic, free, no account needed.

Poisson and binomial distributions

Easy

The Poisson distribution · Year 12 · 1 mark

  1. X∼Po(3.0)X \sim \mathrm{Po}(3.0). What is P(X=0)\mathrm{P}(X = 0)?
    (1)

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  1. P(X=0)\mathrm{P}(X = 0)=e−λ{}= \mathrm{e}^{-\lambda}.CC: 0.04980.0498

Total1

  • MMethod mark: for a correct method, even with a slip.
  • AAccuracy mark: for a correct answer from a correct method.
  • BIndependent mark: for a correct fact or result on its own, with no method needed.
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Poisson and binomial distributions

Medium

The Poisson distribution · Year 12 · 7 marks

Calls arrive at a help desk at random, at an average rate of 1.5 per hour.
  1. (a)
    Give two reasons why a Poisson distribution may be a suitable model for the number of calls in an hour.
    (2)
  2. (b)
    Find the probability that at least 3 calls arrive in a 3-hour period.
    (3)
  3. (c)
    Find the probability that at least one call arrives in each of three separate one-hour periods.
    (2)
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Part (a)2 marks

  1. Calls arrive singly and independently.
  2. Calls arrive at a constant average rate.

Part (b)3 marks

  1. Scale the rate to the interval.Y∼Po(4.5)Y \sim \mathrm{Po}(4.5)
  2. P(Y≥3)\mathrm{P}(Y \geq 3)=1−P(Y≤2){}= 1 - \mathrm{P}(Y \leq 2)
  3. =0.8264= 0.8264

Part (c)2 marks

  1. Independent hours.(1−e−1.5)3\left(1 - \mathrm{e}^{-1.5}\right)^3
  2. =0.4689= 0.4689

Total7

  • MMethod mark: for a correct method, even with a slip.
  • AAccuracy mark: for a correct answer from a correct method.
  • BIndependent mark: for a correct fact or result on its own, with no method needed.
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